Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.044818 0.052276 0.060471 0.070130 0.081184 0.093423 0.107983
2025-06-01 0.033645 0.043385 0.055078 0.070083 0.088754 0.111142 0.139937
2025-06-08 0.025404 0.035832 0.049371 0.068086 0.093112 0.125223 0.169313
2025-06-15 0.021437 0.032699 0.048347 0.071398 0.104154 0.148628 0.213083
2025-06-22 0.017539 0.028771 0.045382 0.071316 0.110246 0.165838 0.250351
2025-06-29 0.014164 0.024882 0.041688 0.069374 0.113077 0.178413 0.282111
2025-07-06 0.011776 0.022044 0.039036 0.068438 0.117011 0.192676 0.317469
2025-07-13 0.010696 0.021173 0.039344 0.072152 0.128511 0.219439 0.374361
2025-07-20 0.009612 0.020074 0.039051 0.074721 0.138291 0.244264 0.430355
2025-07-27 0.008117 0.017913 0.036521 0.072960 0.140357 0.256468 0.466606
2025-08-03 0.007009 0.016300 0.034731 0.072234 0.144035 0.271551 0.508821
2025-08-10 0.005920 0.014514 0.032319 0.069956 0.144514 0.280936 0.541750
2025-08-17 0.005047 0.013050 0.030368 0.068393 0.146304 0.293108 0.581316
2025-08-24 0.004464 0.012134 0.029417 0.068725 0.151804 0.312609 0.636027
2025-08-31 0.003809 0.010907 0.027592 0.066948 0.152827 0.323679 0.675869
2025-09-07 0.003587 0.010724 0.028095 0.070306 0.164837 0.357129 0.761457
2025-09-14 0.003181 0.009975 0.027154 0.070273 0.169594 0.376534 0.821044
2025-09-21 0.002732 0.009006 0.025516 0.068381 0.170032 0.387129 0.863774
2025-09-28 0.002393 0.008278 0.024361 0.067469 0.172536 0.402177 0.916754
2025-10-05 0.002295 0.008250 0.025024 0.071141 0.185997 0.441643 1.023736
2025-10-12 0.002156 0.008064 0.025234 0.073681 0.197037 0.476732 1.124011
2025-10-19 0.001875 0.007353 0.023874 0.071943 0.197556 0.488604 1.175036
2025-10-26 0.001664 0.006825 0.022947 0.071227 0.200495 0.506126 1.239753